9

Melody De L'epine
4yo Filly · 0-0
Le Croise-Laroche · Prix De Clairmarais - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#11
Rank
Odds
39/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.5 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Vincennes | 4 | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-05 | Mauquenchy | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Enghien | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-08 | Amiens | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Laval | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-21 | Vincennes | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1415% of fieldRange 6-14 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength21%
Delivery trend -2.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/04/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 28/11/2025 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 09/12/2025 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 29/12/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 16/03/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 91% | +0.33 |
| 30/03/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 64% | +0.59 |
| 08/06/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 46% | -0.06 |
| 05/08/2026 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |