10
Nazzarena
3yo Filly · 0-0
Le Croise-Laroche · Prix De L'olympique Rugby Marcquois - Attele · 1m 5f 202y
#4
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 2.8)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-26 | Vincennes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-19 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-09 | Caen | 1 | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-18 | Enghien | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-20 | Vincennes | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-09 | Caen | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 13100% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength93%
Delivery trend -5.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/03/2026 | 1st | 11/1 | 42% | 100% | +0.58 |
| 20/03/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 86% | +0.12 |
| 18/04/2026 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 26/05/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 57% | +0.41 |