13
New Success
3yo Colt · 0-0
Le Croise-Laroche · Prix De L'olympique Rugby Marcquois - Attele · 1m 5f 202y
#11
Rank
Odds
55/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Vincennes | 1 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Caen | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Vincennes | 1 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-20 | Vincennes | 1 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-13 | Vincennes | 1 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-01-29 | Vincennes | 1 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1317% of fieldRange 6-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength18%
Delivery trend +3.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/11/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 63% | -0.06 |
| 13/12/2025 | 10th | 28/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 18/01/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 29% | -0.40 |
| 29/01/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 13/02/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 20/03/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 11/04/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 09/05/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 92% | +0.65 |
| 22/08/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 22% | -0.15 |