4
Nougayorque
3yo Colt · 0-0
Le Croise-Laroche · Prix De L'olympique Rugby Marcquois - Attele · 1m 5f 202y
#12
Rank
Odds
39/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-22 | Vincennes | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-05 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-31 | Vincennes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-06 | Enghien | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-11 | Vincennes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-12-31 | Vincennes | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 138% of fieldRange 6-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength22%
Delivery trend -6.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10/2025 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 26/11/2025 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 11/02/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 06/03/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 63% | +0.05 |
| 31/03/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 22/05/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |