2
Nourkis
3yo Colt · 0-0
Le Croise-Laroche · Prix De L'olympique Rugby Marcquois - Attele · 1m 5f 202y
#1
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
99%
Place Prob
85%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.2)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Enghien | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-01 | Enghien | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Le Croise-Laroche | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | La Capelle | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | La Capelle | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-23 | Le Croise-Laroche | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1383% of fieldRange 5-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength27%
Delivery trend -5.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/02/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 23/03/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 70% | +0.28 |
| 19/04/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 82% | +0.29 |
| 08/05/2026 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 90% | +0.85 |
| 20/05/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 01/07/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 55% | +0.28 |