11
King Heuvelland
6yo Gelding · 0-0
Le Croise-Laroche · Prix De Croix - Attele · 1m 6f 9y
#2
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
58%
Place Prob
49%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength18%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-16 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-12-15 | Le Croise-Laroche | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-24 | Vincennes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-03 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-08-21 | Divonne Les Bains | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-07-31 | La Capelle | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 16100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +3.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06/2023 | 6th | 9/4 | 88% | 50% | -0.38 |
| 16/12/2023 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 92% | +0.40 |
| 08/01/2024 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 67% | +0.04 |
| 20/02/2024 | 10th | 28/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 26/06/2025 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 31/07/2025 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 87% | -0.04 |
| 24/11/2025 | 1st | 17/2 | 55% | 100% | +0.45 |
| 15/12/2025 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 16/01/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 89% | -0.01 |