9

Brahmastra
3yo Filly · 8-8
Mountaineer · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 5f
#2
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
10%
Place Prob
20%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength23%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 8.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 2
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | Mountaineer | ? | 8th | 5th | +3 |
| 2026-08-27 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Mountaineer | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Mountaineer | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Mountaineer | ? | 9th | 6th | +3 |
| 2026-05-25 | Mountaineer | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength81%
Delivery trend +1.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/12/2025 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 25/05/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 15/06/2026 | 9th | 100/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 08/07/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 26/07/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 27/08/2026 | 3rd | 50/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 16/09/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 13% | -0.35 |