7
Crafty Lawyer
3yo Filly · 8-8
Mountaineer · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 5f
#3
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
12%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | Mountaineer | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-07-26 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength47%
Delivery trend -3.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/05/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 67% | -0.19 |
| 16/06/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |
| 19/07/2026 | 4th | 11/8 | 93% | 0% | -0.93 |
| 26/07/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 83% | +0.20 |
| 16/09/2026 | 6th | 10/3 | 82% | 38% | -0.45 |