2

Golden Spirit

3yo Filly · 8-8

Mountaineer · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 5f

#6

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼2
Strength73%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 5 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: +2.1
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Monmouth Park 01/06/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 4f110y Fas 117 · HIGHER CLASS1/06C6C6 @ Monmouth Park 04/07/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 49 · 5f Fas 114 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/07/2025 · OR 49 par4/07C6OR 49C6 @ Monmouth Park 31/08/2025 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 35 · 5f Fm 117 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark31/08/2025 · OR 35 par31/08C6OR 35C6 @ Charles Town 26/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 28 · 4f110y 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark26/10/2025 · OR 28 par26/10C6OR 28C6 @ Charles Town 11/12/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 104 · 6f110y 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark11/12/2025 · OR 104 par11/12C6OR 104C6 @ Charles Town 02/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 29 · 4f110y Gd 117 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/04/2026 · OR 29 par2/04C6OR 29C9 @ Charles Town 23/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 100 · 4f110y 121 · below its mark23/08/2026 · OR 100 par23/08C9OR 100projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-23Charles Town?6th6th0
2026-04-02Charles Town?7th4th+3
2025-12-11Charles Town?7th4th+3
2025-10-26Charles Town?8th5th+3
2025-08-31Monmouth Park?7th4th+3
2025-07-04Monmouth Park?7th4th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0626/1023/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 4-8 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength37%

Delivery trend +5.7% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/06/20257th10/147%0%-0.47
04/07/20257th16/116%0%-0.16
31/08/20257th50/10%14%+0.14
26/10/20258th40/10%0%0.00
11/12/20257th40/10%0%0.00
02/04/20267th40/10%0%0.00
23/08/20266th25/10%0%0.00