Dembe Zuma
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 73
Mountaineer · Race 2 - Claiming · 7f
#4
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
6%
Place Prob
12%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 4.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-25 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-08-11 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Mountaineer | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-07-08 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-06-22 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/05/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 31/05/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |
| 15/06/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 22/06/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 08/07/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 40% | -0.34 |
| 23/07/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 17% | -0.62 |
| 11/08/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 25/08/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 22/09/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 57% | -0.24 |