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9

Doom Loop

4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 46

Mountaineer · Race 2 - Claiming · 7f

#3

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

7%

Place Prob

13%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength79%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 3.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Mountaineer 26/08/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 92 · 7f110y Fm 116 · below its mark26/08/2025 · OR 92 par26/08C9OR 92C6 @ Mountaineer 30/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 28 · 5f110y 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark30/10/2025 · OR 28 parC6 @ Mountaineer 12/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR 33 · 6f Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/05/2026 · OR 33 par12/05C6OR 33C6 @ Mountaineer 23/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 36 · 5f110y Slo 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/06/2026 · OR 36 parC6 @ Mountaineer 05/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR - · 7f110y 124 · HIGHER CLASS5/07C6C9 @ Mountaineer 21/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR - · 7f110y Fm 124C6 @ Mountaineer 30/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 35 · 6f 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark30/07/2026 · OR 35 par30/07C6OR 35C5 @ Mountaineer 18/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 39 · 6f Gd 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/08/2026 · OR 39 parC8 @ Mountaineer 31/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 43 · 5f110y Fas 124 · beat its mark31/08/2026 · OR 43 par31/08C8OR 43projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-31Mountaineer?1st1st0
2026-08-18Mountaineer?3rd0th+3
2026-07-30Mountaineer?1st-1th+2
2026-07-21Mountaineer?3rd4th−1
2026-07-05Mountaineer?5th3rd+2
2026-06-23Mountaineer?4th2nd+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/0823/0630/0731/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 4-10 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength16%

Delivery trend -1.9% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 6th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/08/20258th50/10%0%0.00
30/10/20253rd16/116%75%+0.59
12/05/20262nd11/893%67%-0.26
23/06/20264th7/282%50%-0.32
05/07/20265th9/488%0%-0.88
21/07/20263rd7/282%60%-0.22
30/07/20261st4/179%100%+0.21
18/08/20263rd3/184%60%-0.24
31/08/20261st11/893%100%+0.07