Mickeleene
5yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 49
Mountaineer · Race 2 - Claiming · 7f
#10
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.4 /10 (raw 7.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Mountaineer | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2025-05-03 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2024-12-11 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2024-11-29 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 10th | 8th | +2 |
| 2024-07-20 | Colonial Downs | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +7.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07/2024 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 29/11/2024 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 11/12/2024 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 03/05/2025 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 06/09/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |