4
Wilding Lane
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 72
Mountaineer · Race 2 - Claiming · 7f
#9
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Mountaineer | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-30 | Mountaineer | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Mountaineer | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Mountaineer | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Mountaineer | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength46%
Delivery trend -1.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/04/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 03/05/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 14% | -0.02 |
| 17/05/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 03/06/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 23/06/2026 | 6th | 15/1 | 21% | 44% | +0.23 |
| 08/07/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 27/07/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 30/08/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 08/09/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 43% | -0.05 |