4
Datttsafancyfox
7yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 73
Mountaineer · Race 3 - Starter Optional Claiming · 7f
#1
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
55%
Place Prob
44%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength18%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-09-07 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-25 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-16 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-06 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-07-23 | Mountaineer | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 14100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +3.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/03/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 15/04/2026 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 75% | -0.16 |
| 27/04/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 23/07/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 06/08/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |
| 16/08/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 25/08/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 86% | +0.28 |
| 07/09/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 83% | +0.23 |
| 16/09/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 75% | +0.38 |