14
Go Go Star
5yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 72
Mountaineer · Race 3 - Starter Optional Claiming · 7f
#10
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength8%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-31 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-07-28 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-07-16 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-30 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-05-03 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1431% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength67%
Delivery trend -5.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/03/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 04/04/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 25/04/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 03/05/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 30/06/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 40% | -0.42 |
| 16/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 86% | +0.00 |
| 28/07/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 75% | +0.38 |
| 31/08/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 71% | -0.17 |
| 20/09/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |