13
Mean To Me
4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 69
Mountaineer · Race 3 - Starter Optional Claiming · 7f
#11
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-25 | Mountaineer | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-12 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-07-28 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-02 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-06-15 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1454% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength86%
Delivery trend +4.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/01/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 75% | +0.14 |
| 18/02/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 44% | -0.29 |
| 01/06/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 15/06/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 88% | +0.30 |
| 02/07/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 63% | -0.14 |
| 28/07/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 12/08/2026 | 2nd | 6/5 | 94% | 89% | -0.05 |
| 25/08/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 43% | +0.17 |
| 16/09/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |