2
Opposite The Crowd
5yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 74
Mountaineer · Race 3 - Starter Optional Claiming · 7f
#4
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength11%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-09-07 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Mountaineer | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1485% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +11.4% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 21/05/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 0% | -0.84 |
| 31/05/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 02/07/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 20/07/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 75% | +0.59 |
| 05/08/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 17/08/2026 | 7th | 9/4 | 88% | 0% | -0.88 |
| 07/09/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 14/09/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |