6
Strand Of Gold
6yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 61
Mountaineer · Race 3 - Starter Optional Claiming · 7f
#12
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength4%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-11 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-29 | Thistledown | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-05-22 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-05-02 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-04-03 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 148% of fieldRange 5-14 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength28%
Delivery trend -10.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 13th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/02/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 25/02/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 14/03/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 03/04/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 02/05/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 22/05/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 14% | -0.23 |
| 29/06/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 14% | -0.54 |
| 11/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 86% | -0.02 |
| 09/09/2026 | 1st | 1/2 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |