Up Her Sleeve
7yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 59
Mountaineer · Race 3 - Starter Optional Claiming · 7f
#14
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 5.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | Mountaineer | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-06-21 | Mountaineer | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-06-08 | Mountaineer | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-06 | Mountaineer | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2025-12-10 | Mountaineer | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2025-11-03 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +4.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 14th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/06/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 43% | -0.10 |
| 30/06/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 05/08/2025 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 13% | -0.45 |
| 03/11/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |
| 10/12/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 06/05/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 08/06/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 21/06/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 21/07/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |