2

Just For Monty

2yo Gelding · 9-4

Musselburgh · British EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 5f 1y

#3

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#3

★ Timeform

Commentary

Well held in 2 maidens in June.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Ayr 20/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 6f Sft 13320/0644 @ Musselburgh 30/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR - · 5f1y Goo 13330/064projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 3
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-30Musselburgh46th6th0
2026-06-20Ayr45th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/0630/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 30% of fieldRange 3-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -20.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 3. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/06/20265th50/10%20%+0.20
30/06/20266th50/10%0%0.00