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Sod Hall Lane

2yo Colt · 9-11 · OR 84

Musselburgh · British EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 5f 1y

#1

Rank

Odds

8/15

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

100%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Shaped well behind a useful prospect on C&D debut and improved to get off the mark with something to spare in 5f Hamilton maiden earlier this month, handling the softer going and coming clear readily. That race has thrown up winners and he is the one to beat.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength29%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 1.5)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Musselburgh 07/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR - · 5f1y Gd 130 · HIGHER CLASS7/0824 @ Hamilton 02/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 5f7y Sft 1332/094projClass-projected finish: 1st of 3
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02Hamilton41st1st0
2026-08-07Musselburgh22nd0th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/082/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 3100% of fieldRange 2-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▼
Strength37%

Delivery trend -67.8% per run

What the projection says

Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 3. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/08/20262nd20/10%75%+0.75
02/09/20261st11/893%100%+0.07