5
Kaleido
4yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 79
Musselburgh · Weatherbys Racing Bank Selling Stakes · 1m 208y
#4
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength27%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Southwell | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Redcar | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Hamilton | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Hamilton | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Pontefract | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | York | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength66%
Delivery trend +1.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07/2025 | 9th | 3/1 | 84% | 43% | -0.41 |
| 28/04/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 44% | -0.08 |
| 20/05/2026 | 10th | 8/1 | 58% | 10% | -0.48 |
| 13/06/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 29/06/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 11/07/2026 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 75% | -0.16 |
| 16/07/2026 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 0% | -0.88 |
| 22/08/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 03/09/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 75% | +0.17 |