Priapos
4yo Gelding · 10-3 · OR 82
Musselburgh · Weatherbys Racing Bank Selling Stakes · 1m 208y
#5
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 5.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Chester | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-30 | Beverley | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Thirsk | 2 | 11th | 9th | +2 |
| 2026-07-09 | Newmarket | 3 | 12th | 11th | +1 |
| 2026-06-24 | Carlisle | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Carlisle | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/12/2025 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 67% | -0.23 |
| 23/04/2026 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 33% | +0.28 |
| 20/05/2026 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 30/05/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 24/06/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 09/07/2026 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 01/08/2026 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 30/08/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 12/09/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |