3
Walsingham
6yo Gelding · 9-13 · OR 81
Musselburgh · Weatherbys Racing Bank Selling Stakes · 1m 208y
#2
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
10%
Rank
#2
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼1
Strength54%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.2
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Pontefract | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-30 | Beverley | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Ayr | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Goodwood | 2 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-07-05 | Ayr | 3 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-06-05 | Epsom Downs | 2 | 8th | 6th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength62%
Delivery trend -5.9% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/04/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 71% | +0.08 |
| 29/04/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 14/05/2026 | 12th | 18/1 | 5% | 35% | +0.30 |
| 05/06/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 59% | +0.59 |
| 05/07/2026 | 10th | 17/2 | 55% | 0% | -0.55 |
| 31/07/2026 | 5th | 100/1 | 0% | 76% | +0.76 |
| 08/08/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 33% | -0.46 |
| 30/08/2026 | 8th | 11/2 | 71% | 30% | -0.41 |
| 17/09/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 78% | -0.06 |