IvyArcIvyArc
10

Due Respect

4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 48

Musselburgh · Invades Day Party Handicap · 7f 15y

#10

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Winless in 2026 and didn't prove easy to catch right for Gary Rutherford. Posted a respectable third of 8 for her new yard in handicap here (1m, good to firm) 18 days ago. Needs to back it up now.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength25%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Redcar 07/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 53 · 5f217y Goo 133 · beat its mark07/05/2026 · OR 53 par7/056OR 536 @ Redcar 25/05/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 52 · 7f Goo 127 · below its mark25/05/2026 · OR 52 par6 @ Musselburgh 22/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 51 · 7f15y Gd 129 · beat its mark22/06/2026 · OR 51 par22/066OR 516 @ Ayr 13/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 50 · 7f50y Goo 130 · beat its mark13/07/2026 · OR 50 par6 @ Redcar 29/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 48 · 5f217y Goo 130 · beat its mark29/07/2026 · OR 48 par29/076OR 486 @ Catterick 04/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 48 · 7f6y Goo 135 · beat its mark04/08/2026 · OR 48 par6 @ Ayr 10/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 46 · 1m Goo 135 · beat its mark10/08/2026 · OR 46 par10/086OR 466 @ Musselburgh 24/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR 50 · 1m2y Gd 130 · beat its mark24/08/2026 · OR 50 par6 @ Musselburgh 12/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 49 · 1m2y Goo 129 · beat its mark12/09/2026 · OR 49 par12/096OR 49projClass-projected finish: 6th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-12Musselburgh63rd3rd0
2026-08-24Musselburgh68th8th0
2026-08-10Ayr62nd2nd0
2026-08-04Catterick65th5th0
2026-07-29Redcar69th9th0
2026-07-13Ayr68th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/0513/0710/0812/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength70%

Delivery trend +2.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/05/20265th6/168%64%-0.05
25/05/202611th12/137%0%-0.37
22/06/20264th33/10%63%+0.63
13/07/20268th14/126%13%-0.14
29/07/20269th8/158%0%-0.58
04/08/20265th22/10%33%+0.33
10/08/20262nd9/153%89%+0.36
24/08/20268th9/153%42%-0.11
12/09/20263rd7/163%71%+0.08