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3

Pallas Lord

8yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 58

Musselburgh · Invades Day Party Handicap · 7f 15y

#9

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Returned to winning ways at Newcastle in February but form has been mixed since, one of better efforts when fourth of 10 in handicap at Carlisle (7f, good to soft) in June. Needs to hit the ground running after 114 days off.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength23%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Newcastle 31/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 57 · 1m5y Std 132 · beat its mark31/01/2026 · OR 57 par31/016OR 576 @ Newcastle 04/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 57 · 1m5y Std 132 · beat its mark04/02/2026 · OR 57 par6 @ Newcastle 19/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 58 · 7f14y Std 129 · beat its mark19/02/2026 · OR 58 par19/026OR 586 @ Newcastle 24/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 58 · 7f14y Std 133 · beat its mark24/02/2026 · OR 58 par6 @ Newcastle 12/03/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 60 · 7f14y Std 130 · below its mark12/03/2026 · OR 60 par12/036OR 606 @ Wolverhampton 17/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 60 · 1m142y Std 135 · beat its mark17/03/2026 · OR 60 par6 @ Hamilton 15/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 59 · 1m68y Gd 134 · beat its mark15/05/2026 · OR 59 par15/056OR 596 @ Carlisle 29/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 60 · 6f195y Goo 130 · beat its mark29/05/2026 · OR 60 par6 @ Carlisle 08/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 59 · 6f195y Sft 134 · beat its mark08/06/2026 · OR 59 par8/066OR 59projClass-projected finish: 7th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-08Carlisle64th4th0
2026-05-29Carlisle67th7th0
2026-05-15Hamilton63rd3rd0
2026-03-17Wolverhampton66th6th0
2026-03-12Newcastle611th11th0
2026-02-24Newcastle61st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/0124/0215/058/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1160% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength79%

Delivery trend -0.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/01/20262nd16/116%91%+0.75
04/02/20264th5/287%57%-0.30
19/02/20265th11/142%43%+0.01
24/02/20261st11/486%100%+0.14
12/03/202611th11/142%0%-0.42
17/03/20266th13/266%50%-0.16
15/05/20263rd25/10%71%+0.71
29/05/20267th14/126%25%-0.01
08/06/20264th11/142%67%+0.25