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4

Deputy Vice

2yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 72

Musselburgh · Dropkicks Split The G Nursery · 7f 15y

#3

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#3

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Mehmas gelding made a promising debut when third in 6f novice at Chester in May. Has failed to build on it in 4 subsequent starts, however, including on nursery debut when sixth of 13 at Ayr (6f, soft) 12 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼2
Strength98%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.2 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.6
Today: 5
Class gap: +2.4
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Chester 30/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 6f17y Gd 133 · HIGHER CLASS30/0522 @ Carlisle 08/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 4 · OR - · 5f182y Sft 133 · HIGHER CLASS8/0624 @ Chester 27/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 82 · 6f17y Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/06/2026 · OR 82 par27/064OR 823 @ Haydock 03/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 77 · 6f Sft 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/09/2026 · OR 77 par3/093OR 772 @ Ayr 18/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR 74 · 6f Sft 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/09/2026 · OR 74 par18/092OR 74projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-18Ayr26th2nd+3
2026-09-03Haydock33rd1st+2
2026-06-27Chester44th3rd+1
2026-06-08Carlisle24th0th+3
2026-05-30Chester23rd-1th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/058/0627/063/0918/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +14.3% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/05/20263rd11/142%80%+0.38
08/06/20264th16/583%0%-0.83
27/06/20264th7/282%40%-0.42
03/09/20263rd10/147%67%+0.19
18/09/20266th25/10%58%+0.58