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3

Rock Steady Beat

2yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 73

Musselburgh · Dropkicks Split The G Nursery · 7f 15y

#2

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

5%

Place Prob

17%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Bounced back from 2 poor efforts when getting off the mark in 7-runner seller at Redcar (6f, good to firm) 15 days ago. Not out of things now going handicapping.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼2
Strength83%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 3.6)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.4
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.6
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ York 14/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 6f Gd 133 · HIGHER CLASS14/0523 @ Carlisle 09/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 5f Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS9/0634 @ Redcar 20/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR - · 5f Gd 133 · HIGHER CLASS20/0644 @ Pontefract 05/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 76 · 6f Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark05/08/2026 · OR 76 par5/084OR 764 @ Redcar 15/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 73 · 5f217y Goo 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark15/09/2026 · OR 73 par15/094OR 73projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-15Redcar41st0th+1
2026-08-05Pontefract46th5th+1
2026-06-20Redcar43rd2nd+1
2026-06-09Carlisle32nd0th+2
2026-05-14York26th2nd+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/059/0620/065/0815/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength66%

Delivery trend -0.7% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 8.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/05/20266th6/168%64%-0.04
09/06/20262nd5/696%86%-0.10
20/06/20263rd4/179%60%-0.19
05/08/20266th8/1196%29%-0.68
15/09/20261st4/179%100%+0.21