Sir Sirius
2yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 74
Musselburgh · Dropkicks Split The G Nursery · 7f 15y
#8
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 7.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Doncaster | 4 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-06-25 | Newcastle | 4 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-05-31 | Thirsk | 3 | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-05-14 | York | 2 | 10th | 6th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +12.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/05/2026 | 10th | 11/1 | 42% | 36% | -0.06 |
| 31/05/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 44% | +0.08 |
| 25/06/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 67% | +0.06 |
| 11/09/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |