Sovereigns High

2yo Colt · 9-4 · OR 69

Musselburgh · Dropkicks Split The G Nursery · 7f 15y

#6

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark

Move▬

Strength55%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 5.6)

Highest class: 4

Recent avg: C4.4

Today: 5

Class gap: +0.6

Higher-class runs: 3

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-19	Chester	5	6th	6th	0	4.0
2026-08-26	Newbury	5	8th	8th	0	2.0
2026-08-02	Chester	4	3rd	2nd	+1	8.2
2026-07-13	Windsor	4	8th	7th	+1	3.2
2026-06-29	Kempton	4	3rd	2nd	+1	8.2

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%

▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price

Trend▼

Strength58%

Delivery trend -6.2% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
29/06/2026	3rd	12/1	37%	78%	+0.41
13/07/2026	8th	5/1	74%	36%	-0.37
02/08/2026	3rd	28/1	0%	50%	+0.50
26/08/2026	8th	9/1	53%	46%	-0.06
19/09/2026	6th	17/2	55%	50%	-0.05