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7

Anaisa

3yo Filly · 9-5 · OR 74

Musselburgh · Weatherbys Stallion Book Handicap · 5f 1y

#12

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

On a losing sequence but back to form when in the frame in 6f handicaps at Newcastle and Redcar last 2 starts. Considered.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength42%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack1 @ Newmarket 31/10/2025 · Pos 9th of 19 · OR 85 · 6f Gd 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark31/10/2025 · OR 85 par31/101OR 853 @ Pontefract 21/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 84 · 6f Gd 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark21/04/2026 · OR 84 par3 @ Newmarket 01/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 84 · 6f GF 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark01/05/2026 · OR 84 par1/053OR 843 @ Ripon 17/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 83 · 6f Goo 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/05/2026 · OR 83 par4 @ York 24/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 81 · 5f89y Goo 136 · beat its mark24/07/2026 · OR 81 par24/074OR 814 @ Ripon 15/08/2026 · Pos 16th of 20 · OR 78 · 6f Goo 132 · below its mark15/08/2026 · OR 78 par4 @ Ripon 01/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 75 · 6f Sft 133 · beat its mark01/09/2026 · OR 75 par1/094OR 754 @ Newcastle 05/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 75 · 6f Std 129 · beat its mark05/09/2026 · OR 75 par4 @ Redcar 15/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR 75 · 5f217y Goo 133 · beat its mark15/09/2026 · OR 75 par15/094OR 75projClass-projected finish: 4th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-15Redcar44th4th0
2026-09-05Newcastle43rd3rd0
2026-09-01Ripon47th7th0
2026-08-15Ripon416th16th0
2026-07-24York46th6th0
2026-05-17Ripon34th3rd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/1017/051/0915/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength75%

Delivery trend -1.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/10/20259th80/10%56%+0.56
21/04/20264th12/137%50%+0.13
01/05/20265th12/137%60%+0.23
17/05/20264th5/174%63%-0.11
24/07/20266th22/10%55%+0.55
15/08/202616th50/10%21%+0.21
01/09/20267th33/10%33%+0.33
05/09/20263rd11/271%67%-0.04
15/09/20264th11/142%77%+0.35