Call Margot

3yo Filly · 9-5 · OR 74

Musselburgh · Weatherbys Stallion Book Handicap · 5f 1y

#10

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★ Timeform

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark

Move▼1

Strength58%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.6 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class: 1

Recent avg: C3.2

Today: 4

Class gap: +0.8

Higher-class runs: 3

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-13	Doncaster	4	9th	9th	0	1.0
2026-08-26	Catterick	4	3rd	3rd	0	7.0
2026-08-19	York	2	13th	11th	+2	1.0
2026-07-30	Goodwood	3	18th	17th	+1	1.0
2026-06-17	Hamilton	4	6th	6th	0	4.0
2026-06-05	Epsom Downs	2	2nd	0th	+2	5.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 7-12 · 68%

▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price

Trend▼

Strength0%

Delivery trend -7.8% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 12th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
28/02/2026	2nd	8/1	58%	83%	+0.25
09/04/2026	1st	13/2	66%	100%	+0.34
15/05/2026	7th	14/1	26%	63%	+0.36
05/06/2026	2nd	18/1	5%	93%	+0.88
17/06/2026	6th	4/1	79%	29%	-0.50
30/07/2026	18th	12/1	37%	0%	-0.37
19/08/2026	13th	33/1	0%	33%	+0.33
26/08/2026	3rd	6/1	68%	71%	+0.03
13/09/2026	9th	10/1	47%	11%	-0.36