5

Mo Of Cairo

3yo Colt · 9-9 · OR 78

Musselburgh · Weatherbys Stallion Book Handicap · 5f 1y

#7

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#7

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

A fair 5f winner at 2yrs. Yet to add to it this season but shaped encouragingly after a 10-week break/breathing operation when fifth of 16 in handicap at Doncaster (6f, good to firm) 17 days ago, fading only late on. A likely player back at 5f.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength56%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.2)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Hamilton 28/05/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR - · 5f7y Goo 13328/0544 @ Ayr 21/06/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 6f Gd 1335 @ Beverley 05/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 5f Goo 1335/0752 @ York 20/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 19 · OR 81 · 6f Goo 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/08/2025 · OR 81 par3 @ Thirsk 18/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR 84 · 5f Goo 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/04/2026 · OR 84 par18/043OR 844 @ Hamilton 17/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR 84 · 6f6y Gd 134 · beat its mark17/05/2026 · OR 84 par3 @ Windsor 01/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 82 · 6f12y GF 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark01/06/2026 · OR 82 par1/063OR 822 @ Newmarket 09/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR 81 · 6f Goo 115 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark09/07/2026 · OR 81 par4 @ Doncaster 13/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR 79 · 6f2y Gd 134 · beat its mark13/09/2026 · OR 79 par13/094OR 79projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-13Doncaster45th5th0
2026-07-09Newmarket29th7th+2
2026-06-01Windsor34th3rd+1
2026-05-17Hamilton46th6th0
2026-04-18Thirsk36th5th+1
2025-08-20York22nd0th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/0520/081/0613/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength84%

Delivery trend +2.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/05/20252nd5/174%80%+0.06
21/06/20253rd5/696%67%-0.29
05/07/20251st1/195%100%+0.05
20/08/20252nd22/10%94%+0.94
18/04/20266th7/163%62%-0.02
17/05/20266th8/158%62%+0.04
01/06/20264th13/266%67%+0.01
09/07/20269th40/10%33%+0.33
13/09/20265th17/255%73%+0.18