North Coates
2yo Gelding · 8-4 · OR 46
Musselburgh · Global Home Of Outdoor Advertising Nursery · 5f 1y
#7
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 5.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-28 | Hamilton | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-09-11 | Chester | 5 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-08-26 | Catterick | 4 | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-08-16 | Pontefract | 3 | 5th | 1st | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -9.3% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08/2026 | 5th | 80/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 26/08/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 11/09/2026 | 7th | 150/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 28/09/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 33% | -0.30 |