Savoy Blue

2yo Filly · 8-3 · OR 45

Musselburgh · Global Home Of Outdoor Advertising Nursery · 5f 1y

#6

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

★★ Timeform

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark

Move▼2

Strength67%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class: 4

Recent avg: C4.5

Today: 6

Class gap: +1.5

Higher-class runs: 3

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-08-25	Musselburgh	6	4th	4th	0	6.0
2026-07-17	Hamilton	4	5th	3rd	+2	7.4
2026-06-25	Hamilton	4	7th	5th	+2	5.4
2026-06-20	Ayr	4	6th	4th	+2	6.4

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 4-6 · 68%

▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only

Trend▲

Strength34%

Delivery trend +10.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is on the up.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
20/06/2026	6th	20/1	0%	0%	0.00
25/06/2026	7th	50/1	0%	0%	0.00
17/07/2026	5th	125/1	0%	0%	0.00
25/08/2026	4th	16/1	16%	50%	+0.34