Tricky Jenny
2yo Filly · 9-9 · OR 65
Musselburgh · Global Home Of Outdoor Advertising Nursery · 5f 1y
#4
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 5 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 4.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Brighton | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-07-31 | Bath | 4 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-07-15 | Bath | 5 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-06-04 | Lingfield | 4 | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-05-17 | Ripon | 4 | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-04-04 | Musselburgh | 4 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -7.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 56% | -0.18 |
| 17/05/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 29% | -0.29 |
| 04/06/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 44% | -0.27 |
| 15/07/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 83% | +0.18 |
| 31/07/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |
| 23/08/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |