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7

Riddikulus

3yo Filly · 9-1 · OR 56

Musselburgh · Join Racing TV Now Handicap · 1m 5f 216y

#2

Rank

Odds

5/4

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#2

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Has found some improvement for reapplication of blinkers, scoring twice at Ripon in July. Posted another good effort when second of 13 in handicap there (1¼m, good to firm) last month. Should go very well again back up in trip.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength37%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Newcastle 19/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 6f Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS19/1256 @ Newcastle 09/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 55 · 1m2f42y Std 130 · below its mark09/01/2026 · OR 55 par6 @ Newcastle 14/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 52 · 1m5y Sta 122 · beat its mark14/02/2026 · OR 52 par14/026OR 526 @ Ripon 08/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 50 · 1m1f170y Gd 125 · beat its mark08/05/2026 · OR 50 par6 @ Nottingham 11/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 48 · 1m6f Sft 120 · beat its mark11/06/2026 · OR 48 par11/066OR 486 @ Ripon 06/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 46 · 1m4f10y Goo 121 · beat its mark06/07/2026 · OR 46 par6 @ Catterick 22/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 50 · 1m4f13y GF 133 · beat its mark22/07/2026 · OR 50 par22/076OR 506 @ Ripon 27/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 50 · 1m1f170y Goo 125 · beat its mark27/07/2026 · OR 50 par6 @ Ripon 15/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR 54 · 1m1f170y Goo 126 · beat its mark15/08/2026 · OR 54 par15/086OR 54projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-15Ripon62nd2nd0
2026-07-27Ripon61st1st0
2026-07-22Catterick64th4th0
2026-07-06Ripon61st1st0
2026-06-11Nottingham64th4th0
2026-05-08Ripon64th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/128/0522/0715/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▬
Strength100%

Delivery trend -1.5% per run

What the projection says

Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/12/20256th125/10%58%+0.58
09/01/20266th13/266%0%-0.66
14/02/20264th33/10%57%+0.57
08/05/20264th18/15%57%+0.52
11/06/20264th17/255%57%+0.02
06/07/20261st11/142%100%+0.58
22/07/20264th2/189%50%-0.39
27/07/20261st5/287%100%+0.13
15/08/20262nd6/168%92%+0.23