Simple Star
8yo Gelding · 9-12 · OR 60
Musselburgh · Join Racing TV Now Handicap · 1m 5f 216y
#3
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 5 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 5.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Musselburgh | 4 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-08-24 | Musselburgh | 5 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-08-07 | Musselburgh | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-07-31 | Musselburgh | 5 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-07-13 | Ayr | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-05 | Musselburgh | 5 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 26/04/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 24/05/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 43% | -0.33 |
| 05/06/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 13/07/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 20% | -0.51 |
| 31/07/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 40% | -0.18 |
| 07/08/2026 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 24/08/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 12/09/2026 | 5th | 80/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |