2

Tide Lines

5yo Mare · 9-10 · OR 58

Musselburgh · Join Racing TV Now Handicap · 1m 5f 216y

#6

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Debut Catterick fourth over 1½m in April but well below that form in a pair of novices (11f/1½m) at Kempton this summer. Lots more needed now going handicapping.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength85%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 6
Class gap: +2.3
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Catterick 22/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR - · 1m4f13y Goo 137 · HIGHER CLASS22/0443 @ Kempton 08/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f219y Sta 139 · HIGHER CLASS8/0734 @ Kempton 19/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 1m3f219y Sta 134 · HIGHER CLASS19/084projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-19Kempton410th8th+2
2026-07-08Kempton37th3rd+3
2026-04-22Catterick44th2nd+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/048/0719/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength86%

Delivery trend -3.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/04/20264th25/10%25%+0.25
08/07/20267th25/10%45%+0.45
19/08/202610th125/10%18%+0.18