2
Honorandaprayer
3yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 71
Presque Isle Downs · Race 1 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
32%
Place Prob
27%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-06 | Penn National | ? | 4th | 7th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 550% of fieldRange 3-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength37%
Delivery trend -12.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 5. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/05/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 25/05/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 43% | +0.17 |
| 16/06/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 60% | -0.01 |
| 06/07/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 40% | -0.36 |
| 04/08/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 80% | -0.04 |
| 09/09/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |