5
Mayhem
3yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 73
Presque Isle Downs · Race 1 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
7%
Place Prob
13%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 50% of fieldRange 2-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength6%
Delivery trend -17.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 5. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/06/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 06/07/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 80% | +0.43 |
| 04/08/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 40% | -0.48 |
| 31/08/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 20% | -0.27 |