7
Violin Fingers
3yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 51
Presque Isle Downs · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength2%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-31 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-13 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength53%
Delivery trend -1.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 03/06/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 23/06/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 03/07/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 40% | -0.23 |
| 13/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 75% | +0.22 |
| 04/08/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 19/08/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 31/08/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 09/09/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |