2
Munny Problem
3yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 86
Presque Isle Downs · Race 3 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
8%
Place Prob
17%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Colonial Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Laurel Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-27 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength76%
Delivery trend +3.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/02/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 33% | -0.40 |
| 12/04/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 83% | -0.07 |
| 16/05/2026 | 8th | 11/2 | 71% | 30% | -0.41 |
| 10/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 86% | -0.02 |
| 31/07/2026 | 4th | 5/4 | 93% | 57% | -0.36 |
| 21/08/2026 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 83% | -0.07 |