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6

Sticktotheplanman

3yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 72

Presque Isle Downs · Race 3 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f

#1

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

69%

Place Prob

51%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 2.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Presque Isle Downs 20/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR - · 6f 12020/07C6C6 @ Presque Isle Downs 05/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 71 · 6f Fas 120 · beat its mark05/08/2026 · OR 71 par5/08C6OR 71C6 @ Presque Isle Downs 14/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 79 · 6f 121 · below its mark14/09/2026 · OR 79 par14/09C6OR 79projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-14Presque Isle Downs?4th4th0
2026-08-05Presque Isle Downs?2nd2nd0
2026-07-20Presque Isle Downs?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/075/0814/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength28%

Delivery trend -18.1% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/07/20262nd11/486%75%-0.11
05/08/20262nd5/174%80%+0.06
14/09/20264th5/287%40%-0.47