3
Straightoutadutton
11yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 91
Presque Isle Downs · Race 4 - Starter Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength2%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-08-19 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-06-16 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-10-08 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +5.3% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08/2025 | 8th | 9/4 | 88% | 0% | -0.88 |
| 03/09/2025 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 24/09/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 25% | -0.49 |
| 08/10/2025 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 16/06/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |
| 22/07/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 25% | -0.41 |
| 04/08/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 19/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 80% | -0.08 |
| 21/09/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 80% | -0.07 |