6
Boujie Betz
4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 76
Presque Isle Downs · Race 5 - Claiming · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
6%
Place Prob
12%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength45%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 3.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-09-01 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-08-14 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength76%
Delivery trend +2.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 18/08/2025 | 3rd | 1/1 | 95% | 50% | -0.45 |
| 14/10/2025 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 20% | -0.43 |
| 03/06/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 33% | -0.54 |
| 15/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 86% | +0.12 |
| 28/07/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |
| 14/08/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 01/09/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |
| 15/09/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 60% | -0.28 |