Oh Sheila
3yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 88
Presque Isle Downs · Race 5 - Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
11%
Place Prob
17%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 3.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-06-08 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-04-18 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-03-21 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -13.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/11/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 11/01/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 78% | +0.15 |
| 08/02/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 44% | -0.03 |
| 21/03/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 18/04/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 86% | +0.49 |
| 08/06/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 40% | -0.23 |
| 29/06/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 28/07/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 67% | +0.04 |
| 19/08/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |