2
She's Lit
3yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 74
Presque Isle Downs · Race 5 - Claiming · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
35%
Place Prob
31%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-26 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-13 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-05-17 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-04-24 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 9th | 10th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength74%
Delivery trend +1.7% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/02/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 56% | -0.15 |
| 01/03/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 04/04/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 89% | +0.05 |
| 24/04/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 17/05/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 25% | -0.51 |
| 13/07/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 67% | +0.04 |
| 17/08/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 26/08/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 23/09/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |