Steady My Heart
3yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 68
Presque Isle Downs · Race 5 - Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-27 | Penn National | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-08-14 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-18 | Penn National | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-06 | Penn National | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/05/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 18/06/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 14/08/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 57% | -0.11 |
| 27/08/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 43% | -0.10 |
| 08/09/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |