6

Angel Of Harlem
6yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 73
Presque Isle Downs · Race 6 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 7th | 9th | −2 |
| 2026-08-10 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2026-07-29 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2026-07-08 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-06-24 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-06-02 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength43%
Delivery trend +1.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/06/2025 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 50% | -0.40 |
| 24/06/2025 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 50% | -0.36 |
| 20/05/2026 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 02/06/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 67% | +0.06 |
| 24/06/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 40% | -0.23 |
| 08/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 75% | -0.01 |
| 29/07/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 10/08/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 20% | -0.48 |
| 09/09/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |